Stationary Bootstrap

Stationary bootstrap algorithm for resampling weakly-dependent stationary data. Based on the 1994 paper by Politis & Romano.
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Aggiornato 18 ott 2022
A block resampling method used for weakly-dependent stationary time-series data proposed in the 1994 paper by Politis & Romano (https://www.jstor.org/stable/2290993).
Problem
When using non-parametric tools to generate counterfactual scenarios or empirical distributions, bootstrapping methods proved to be a powerful and easy-to-use tool. However the bootstrap in its simplest implementation assumes a time-series in which observations are independent. In a lot of applications this is not the case.
An example of this is interest rate modelling when business cycles need to be considered. The presence of business cycles makes the time-series weakly time dependent. To account for this, block-resampling techniques are used.
Solution
Stationary bootstrap is a block-resampling technique that relaxes the assumption of a fixed lenght of a sampling block. The user still needs to specify an average length, but because this is true only on average, shorter/longer blocks are also present in the final sample.
The algorithm works by randomly selecting a starting point in the time-series and at each step it either increases the block size by one or selects a new block with a new starting point. This choice happens with a fixed probability governed by the parametrisation.
Input
  • A time-series that you want to bootstrap
  • The parameter m describing the average duration of the blocks in the sample
  • The length of the output sample
Output
  • Vector of bootstrapped values of specified length
Getting started
Given the time-series with observed values 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10, the user is looking to bootstrap a new sample of length 9 where the average block is of size 4.
data = [1; 2; 3; 4; 5; 6; 7; 8; 9; 10];
StationaryBootstrap(data, 4, 9)
>> ans = [6; 5; 6; 7; 8; 9; 9; 10; 1]
Calibration of m
For the calibration of the parameter, a really good source is Andrew J. Patton's implementation that can be found here: http://public.econ.duke.edu/~ap172/
Example script
Script IRS_Example.m contains an example of bootstraping the EURO denominated 6M interest-rate-swap rate. Data is obtained from the Italian stock exchange: https://www.teleborsa.it/Quotazioni/Tassi/Eurirs for date 12/11/2021
The missing maturities are interpolated using the Smith & Wilson algorithm found here:

Cita come

Gregor Fabjan (2024). Stationary Bootstrap (https://github.com/qnity/stationary_bootstrap_matlab), GitHub. Recuperato .

Dimitris N. Politis & Joseph P. Romano (1994) The Stationary Bootstrap, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89:428, 1303-1313, DOI: 10.1080/01621459.1994.10476870

Compatibilità della release di MATLAB
Creato con R2021b
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Versione Pubblicato Note della release
1.0.6

Project now has a website

1.0.5

Linked to GitHub

1.0.4

Link to new GitHub

1.0.3

Redesign of the description.

1.0.2

Added an example of bootstrapping Italian interest rate swaps

1.0.1

Added a link to a Matlab code for calibrating the parameter "m".

1.0.0

Per visualizzare o segnalare problemi su questo componente aggiuntivo di GitHub, visita GitHub Repository.
Per visualizzare o segnalare problemi su questo componente aggiuntivo di GitHub, visita GitHub Repository.